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Opinion

Bangladesh is on the Verge of Becoming Afghanistan 2.0

Published October 2, 2024
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12 Min Read
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by Dr. Dilip Nath

Introduction
Bangladesh, known for its resilience and dynamic culture, has changed dramatically since 1971. Bangladesh has historically suffered from natural calamities, economic problems, and political upheaval. Bangladesh has one of the world’s fastest-growing economies due to its textile industry, remittances from abroad workers, and fast-growing technology sector. But new developments have made some wonder what the future holds for the country. Bangladeshis fear that their country is transforming into “Afghanistan 2.0” due to political instability, Islamist terrorist organizations, and the potential loss of human liberties.

Recent Economic Growth
The textile sector has created millions of employment, reduced poverty, and increased exports. It has been noted that textile industry has become the leading industry to employee thousands of Bangladeshis. Healthcare and education have raised national standards of life. But recent political upheaval resulted in corruption, social discontent, and political instability and casted doubt on the in viability of this economic struggle. Textile industry has been very important for the GDP growth of the country, therefore any upheaval in the political sphere of the country would dent the economic progress. Textile industry has been very important for the GDP growth of the country, The Foreign Investors’ Chamber of Commerce and Industry (Ficci) expects even harsher fines after the shutdown significantly impacted Bangladesh’s economy with over $10 billion and fast-moving consumer products sector lost over $100 million (Akriti, 2024). Besides, more than 170 clothing manufacturers have gone out of business due to anarchy and a lack of order. The average Bangladeshi confronts a number of difficulties as a result of the political and social unrest in the nation, including inflation, rising prices for basic necessities, and shortages of vital services like power.

Effects of Hasina’s Ouster
Effects of Hasina’s Ouster has fueled political tensions in Bangladesh have increased since Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina’s departure. Opposition parties have slammed her autocratic administration. Her disappearance created a political vacuum where many factions compete for power. This instability has worsened the country’s economy, causing investors to lose faith and impeding progress. Political conflicts and social discontent threaten economic growth. Political victimization has abruptly increase after August 5th, and Cyper Security Act 2023 has strictly been used as a tool to suppress the freedom of speech of political dissidents (TBS Report, 2024).

Rise of Militant Islamist Groups
Extremist in Bangladesh has worsen and Bangladeshi extreme Islamist groups have triumphed amid political upheaval. Jamaat-e-Islami and Hefazat-e-Islam secretly promote conservative Islam. These organizations used the government’s weakness to recruit new members and advance their ideas. These parties are undermining Bangladesh’s secularism and War of Independence beliefs. Moreover, Chief Advisor Dr Muhammad Yunus has lifted the ban on Jamat-e-Islami which makes it clear that contemporary government in Bangladesh heading it to a radical state (Al Jazeera, 2024).

Inviable Groups Breaks Dormancy
Many formerly dormant militant groups are reemerging, bolstered by political instability. Their comeback is more than just ideological bluster; they are actively working to influence Bangladesh’s societal norms. The interim administration, lacking the authority and control required to successfully battle these organizations, has unintentionally supplied them with a sense of impunity. Violent extremism and strict interpretations of Sharia law pose an increasingly grave danger to society as they gain momentum, leading to significant social disruptions.
Violation of Women Rights
The potential erosion of women’s rights is one of the most worrisome elements of this upsurge in militant activity. Reportedly, women would soon be required to conform to retrograde standards reminiscent of those enforced by the Taliban in Afghanistan, when they encountered considerable restrictions on their independence and liberties. Implementation of Islamic Law has been regarded as eminent. Sharia law’s possible implementation in Bangladesh is moving from the realm of faraway horror to that of imminent reality. Historically, women in Bangladesh have achieved progress in a variety of fields, including education and work. However, as Islamist organizations gain control, there is rising concern that women would be restricted to conventional roles and denied their rights and freedoms.

Enforcement of Sharia Code
As extremist groups solidify their influence, they become more open about their desire to apply Sharia rules throughout the nation. This action would have disastrous consequences for the secular legal system established after independence, endangering the rights of minorities, women, and everyone who disagrees with their ideas. The societal fabric, stitched with threads of tolerance and variety, is at risk of unravelling.

Students inherent Politics and Extremism
According to recent allegations, many of the student leaders who organized the student quota movement are members of the Bangladeshi extremist party Jamaat-e-Islami. Out of around 150 student leaders, 120 are part of this group. The alliance draws attention to the extreme ideology’s propagation among the youth of the nation, who are seen as its probable heirs to power. The future of our educational system and the values our children will be taught in light of this tendency is concerning and very problematic.

Violence and Brutality
A sobering reminder that violent extremist groups are gaining popularity is the awful arsenic attack on August 5th and the resulting horrible murder of innocent individuals. They are prepared to sow seeds of doubt and terror if it means achieving their goals. These savage crimes indicate a new low point, and things could get out of hand if we do nothing quickly.

Disorder and Lawlessness
A terrifying new level of lawlessness has emerged as a result of recent political unrest. Criminals have seized the opportunity to engage in illicit activities with low fear of consequences while the government attempts to maintain control. Violence and intimidation have flourished as a result of the breakdown of law and order, which has far-reaching consequences. Students, previously regarded as beacons of hope and progress, are now frequently portrayed as criminals who participate in violent rallies and disrupt public order.

Political Victimization
The political scene is increasingly marked by the silence of alternative voices. With the development of authoritarianism, many political activists and opposition leaders face persecution, jail, or worse. This political scenario of fear stifles healthy political discourse and degrades democracy, leaving citizens disillusioned and indifferent. The lack of a platform for political discourse leaves a need that extreme groups are eager to fill.

History at Stake
There is rising fear that the present generation of Bangladeshi students, inspired by radical ideas, is attempting to erase the country’s independent history. It is possible that a story that glorifies bigotry and extremism would triumph over the fight for freedom and secularism. Bangladeshi culture has always been characterized by its values of plurality and coexistence; yet, this erasing of past threatens both national identity and those goals for the future. A future fraught with uncertainty keep going in this direction, and Bangladesh can wind up becoming “Afghanistan 2.0.” A perfect storm threatening to devour the nation is created by the confluence of political instability, the proliferation of radical ideologies, and a failing economy.

The Uncertainty and Future
Imagine a world where intolerance, tyranny, and hatred are common, like the Taliban’s Afghanistan. It’s possible that, especially powerful ones like the US and India, must intervene quickly to address the Bangladesh problem. Bangladesh and the region are in danger and immediate action need to be taken to strengthen democratic institutions, preserve human rights, and resist extremism. Bangladesh has experienced 12 year highest inflation rate at 11.66 percent in July, which is the alarming situation for uncertainty in the country (Press Trust of India, 2024).

Bangladesh Turmoil and International Community
An immediate action becomes prerequisite to eradicate extremism and persecution, Bangladesh risks losing its democracy and prosperity, international community specifically India being it’s neighbor and United States as world leader should take prompt action to avoid another Afghanistan experience. To stop this instability in Bangladesh, the US and India must act now, because Bangladesh’s instability threatens India’s geopolitics in South Asia. Moreover, US and India need to take swift and prompt action to avoid this turmoil in Bangladesh (Ahmede Hussain, 2023). The turmoil in Bangladesh pose direct threats for India’s strategic and regional position in South Asia.

Conclusion
In summary with problems that can cause a retreat like Afghanistan’s, Bangladesh is at a crossroads. There is a grave threat to the social and democratic principles of the nation because of economic hardship, political unrest, and the emergence of extremist groups. Now it’s the high time for the international community to act and withstand with democratic values. It becomes share responsibility of the civic world to instill justice, freedom and equality in this nation of South Asia. Extremism and persecution that has been perpetrated by the contemporary government need to be stopped and democratic principles should be restored.
Author Bio: Dr. Dilip Nath is a distinguished author and a senior think tank executive in the sectors of higher education and healthcare. Driven by passion, he champions for voting rights, defending human rights, and is actively engaged in political activism. As an alumnus of the Harvard Kennedy School, he is deeply committed to transparent public policy and its proper execution within governmental frameworks.

References
Akriti, A,(2024, Aug 7). ‘How Bangladesh crisis may impact its economic growth: Explained’ The Mint. https://www.livemint.com/economy/how-bangladesh-crisis-may-impact-its-economic-growth-explained-sheikh-hasina-muhammad-yunus-11723038572512.html
Press Trust of India, (2024, Aug 13). ‘Bangladesh’s inflation spikes 12-year high to 11.66% in July amid protests’ Business Standard: Dhaka. https://www.business-standard.com/external-affairs-defence-security/news/bangladesh-s-inflation-spikes-12-year-high-to-11-66-in-july-amid-protests-124081301036_1.html
Al Jazeera, (2024, Aug 28). ‘Bangladesh’s interim government lifts ban on Jamaat-e-Islami party’ News: Politics. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/8/28/bangladeshs-interim-government-lifts-ban-on-jamaat-e-islami-party
Hussein, A, (2024, Sep 23). ‘Bangladesh Picks Up the Pieces After the Revolution’ Foreign Policy: Argument. https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/09/23/bangladesh-revolution-hasina-yunus-western-relations/
TBS Report, (2024, Sep 25).’ Why are the old tools of repression still in use?’ The Business Standard. https://www.tbsnews.net/features/panorama/why-are-old-tools-repression-still-use-950491

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By Dr. Dilip Nath
Dr. Dilip Nath is a think tank technology executive leader in the higher education and healthcare vertical. By passion a voting right advocate, human Rights defender and a technology equity activist. A Harvard Kennedy School Alumni who deeply care about the transparent public policy and its correct implementation in government.
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